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#!/usr/bin/env python3
"""
Plot pool
"""
importglob
importnumpyasnp
importpandasaspd
importmatplotlib.pyplotasplt
PROFILE_ORDER= {"Alice": 0, "Bob": 1, "Charlie": 2, "Diane": 3}
PROFILE_TO_LETTER= {"Alice": "A", "Bob": "B", "Charlie": "C", "Diane": "D"}
PROFILE_COLORS= {
"Alice": "steelblue",
"Bob": "darkorange",
"Charlie": "seagreen",
"Diane": "mediumpurple",
}
PROFILE_LABELS= {
"Alice": "Deliberative",
"Bob": "Low Engagement",
"Charlie": "High Frequency",
"Diane": "Intermittent",
}
deftrim_min_max_by_entropy(group: pd.DataFrame) ->pd.DataFrame:
iflen(group) <=2:
returngroup.copy()
g=group.sort_values("entropy_loss_bits", kind="mergesort").reset_index(drop=True)
# drop first and last
returng.iloc[1:-1].copy()
# X tick labels: A_i, B_i, C_i, D_i
defto_letter_subscript(t: str) ->str:
p, idx=t.split("_")
letter=PROFILE_TO_LETTER.get(p, p[0].upper())
returnf"${letter}_{{{idx}}}$"
defmain():
files=sorted(glob.glob("data/qif_pool_results_run*.csv"))
df=pd.concat([pd.read_csv(f) forfinfiles], ignore_index=True)
df["profile"] =df["target"].apply(lambdax: x.split("_")[0])
df["index"] =df["target"].apply(lambdax: int(x.split("_")[1]))
df["sort_key"] =df["profile"].map(PROFILE_ORDER).fillna(99) +df["index"] /100.0
# allow for various pool size
N_pool=int(df["target"].nunique())
vuln_baseline=1.0/N_pool
# trim outliers
trimmed= (df.groupby("target", group_keys=False).apply(trim_min_max_by_entropy).reset_index(drop=True))
# per user
agg=trimmed.groupby("target").agg(
loss_mean=("entropy_loss_bits", "mean"),
loss_std=("entropy_loss_bits", "std"),
vuln_mean=("bayes_vuln", "mean"),
vuln_std=("bayes_vuln", "std"),
profile=("profile", "first"),
index=("index", "first"),
n_used=("entropy_loss_bits", "count"),
).reset_index()
agg["sort_key"] =agg["profile"].map(PROFILE_ORDER).fillna(99) +agg["index"] /100.0
agg=agg.sort_values("sort_key").reset_index(drop=True)
agg["color"] =agg["profile"].map(PROFILE_COLORS).fillna("gray")
xtick_labels=agg["target"].apply(to_letter_subscript).tolist()
x=np.arange(len(agg))
fig, ax1=plt.subplots(figsize=(10, 5))
bars=ax1.bar(
x,
agg["loss_mean"].values,
yerr=agg["loss_std"].fillna(0.0).values,
capsize=4,
color=agg["color"].values,
alpha=0.95,
error_kw={"ecolor": "tab:blue", "elinewidth": 1.5},
)
ax1.set_ylabel("Entropy Loss ($\\Delta H$, bits)")
ax1.set_xticks(x)
ax1.set_xticklabels(xtick_labels, rotation=25, ha="center")
# baseline
ax1.axhline(y=0.0, color="gray", linestyle="--", linewidth=1)
# BV
ax2=ax1.twinx()
ax2.errorbar(
x,
agg["vuln_mean"].values,
yerr=agg["vuln_std"].fillna(0.0).values,
fmt="o",
capsize=4,
color="black",
ecolor="black",
elinewidth=1.2,
markersize=5,
)
ax2.set_ylabel("Bayes Vulnerability ($V$)")
# baseline uniform prior
ax2.axhline(y=vuln_baseline, color="black", linestyle=":", linewidth=1)
ax1.set_title(f"Pool Evaluation (N={N_pool}): $\\Delta H$ and Bayes Vulnerability")
# legend
handles= []
seen=set()
forpinagg["profile"].unique():
label=PROFILE_LABELS.get(p, p)
iflabelnotinseen:
handles.append(plt.Line2D([], [], color=PROFILE_COLORS.get(p, "gray"), marker="s", linestyle="None", label=label))
seen.add(label)
handles.append(plt.Line2D([], [], color="black", marker="o", linestyle="None", label="Bayes Vulnerability"))
handles.append(plt.Line2D([], [], color="gray", linestyle="--", label="$\\Delta H$ baseline (0)"))
handles.append(plt.Line2D([], [], color="black", linestyle=":", label=f"$V$ baseline (1/{N_pool})"))
ax1.legend(handles=handles, loc="upper left", fontsize=9)
ax1.grid(axis="y", linestyle="--", alpha=0.5)
plt.tight_layout()
out="out/pool_entropy_vulnerability.pdf"
plt.savefig(out)
plt.show()
# Summary stats
print("\n==== Pool Summary ====")
for_, rinagg.iterrows():
ls=0.0ifpd.isna(r["loss_std"]) elser["loss_std"]
vs=0.0ifpd.isna(r["vuln_std"]) elser["vuln_std"]
print(f"{r['target']}: n={int(r['n_used'])} ΔH={r['loss_mean']:.4f}+-{ls:.4f} V={r['vuln_mean']:.4f}+-{vs:.4f}")
print(f"Created {out}")
if__name__=="__main__":
main()