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IsadoreNabi/README.md

"Con la rebelión nace la conciencia." — Albert Camus

José Mauricio Gómez Julián

Economist and data scientist. I work on Bayesian statistics, time series and econometrics, and on the philosophy of science and political economy that frame them. Author and sole maintainer of 12 R packages on CRAN.

ORCID 0009-0000-2412-3150 · marxistphilosophyofscience.com · isadore.nabi@pm.me

Research lines

  • Bayesian hierarchical modelling — structure learning and variable selection in graphical models; geometry-adaptive sampling.
  • Time series and regime change — state-space reconstruction, changepoint detection, dynamic factor models.
  • Econometrics of value and prices — empirical construction of labour values and production prices without simultaneist assumptions.
  • Philosophy of science — probability, dialectics and the foundations of statistical inference.

R packages on CRAN

All twelve are single-authored and single-maintained.

PackageVersionWhat it does
gdpar0.1.0Generalized distributional parameter regression: hierarchical additive models with per-parameter predictors, fitted with Stan
bivarhr0.1.6Bivariate hurdle negative-binomial models with dynamic Bayesian networks and hidden Markov regimes
EmpiricalDynamics0.1.9Empirical dynamic modelling: state-space reconstruction and convergent cross mapping for nonlinear time series
bayesianOU0.2.0Hierarchical Bayesian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck models for mean-reverting processes
BayesianDisaggregation0.2.1Bayesian economic data disaggregation with multiple posterior estimation methods
convergenceDFM0.3.2Dynamic factor models for convergence analysis
HTDV0.2.0Hypothesis testing for imbalanced and heteroscedastic designs
RegimeChange0.1.1Regime-change detection in time series, benchmarked against changepoint, ruptures and Kats
SignalY1.1.1Signal extraction and decomposition for noisy economic and environmental series
topologyR0.3.0Topological data analysis: persistent homology and simplicial complexes in R
valueprhr0.1.0Empirical construction of labour values and production prices without simultaneist assumptions
EconCausal1.0.2Causal direction between pairs of economic variables: ECM with MARS nonlinearity, BSTS and Bayesian GLM with AR(1)

Each package has a permanent identifier of the form 10.32614/CRAN.package.<name> and full technical documentation deposited on Zenodo.

Installation

install.packages("gdpar") # any of the twelve, from CRAN

Development versions are also served from r-universe.

Usage. 3 294 downloads in the last month across the twelve packages, none below 170 (source: cranlogs, Posit mirror, July 2026). This is a lower bound: the Posit mirror is one of several.

Selected publications

Preprints (arXiv)

  • Quantitative Theory of Money or Prices? A Historical, Theoretical, and Econometric Analysis, 2025. arXiv:2501.14623
  • Sectorial Exclusion Criteria in the Marxist Analysis of the Average Rate of Profit: The United States Case (1960-2020), 2025. arXiv:2501.06270

Peer-reviewed

  • Más allá de la curva de Phillips: inflación, cambio tecnológico y acumulación de plusvalía en las economías capitalistas contemporáneas, Realidad Económica, 2025.
  • Teorías del comercio internacional versus resultados de los tratados comerciales: ¿ventaja absoluta o comparativa?, Revista Cubana de Economía Internacional, 2025.
  • Sobre la validez del supuesto de uniformidad en las tasas de plusvalía sectorial desde la teoría de las probabilidades, Ciencia Económica, 2022.
  • Sobre la dialéctica inmanente en la metamorfosis mercantil, Revista de Filosofía de la Universidad de Costa Rica, 2017.

Full record on ORCID: 35 works — 12 software, 9 preprints, 7 journal articles, 3 datasets.

Pinned Loading

  1. BayesianDisaggregationBayesianDisaggregationPublic

    An R package for Bayesian economic data disaggregation with multiple posterior estimation methods and comprehensive evaluation metrics. Implements weighted, multiplicative, Dirichlet conjugate, and…

    R 1

  2. EconCausalEconCausalPublic

    R package for analysis templates: ECM with MARS nonlinearity, Bayesian Structural Time Series, and Bayesian GLM with AR(1). Designed to determine causal direction between pairs of economic variable…

    R 1

  3. topologyRtopologyRPublic

    Topological data analysis: persistent homology and simplicial complexes in R

    R

  4. bayesianOUbayesianOUPublic

    Hierarchical Bayesian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck models for mean-reverting processes

    R

  5. bivarhrbivarhrPublic

    Bivariate hurdle negative-binomial models with dynamic Bayesian networks and hidden Markov regimes

    R

  6. EmpiricalDynamicsEmpiricalDynamicsPublic

    Empirical dynamic modelling: state-space reconstruction and convergent cross mapping for nonlinear time series

    R