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  • PRIO
  • Oslo

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Polichinel/README.md

💫 About Me:

💼 Senior Researcher At the Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO), where I lead advanced research initiatives focused on conflict forecasting.

🚀 Head of Model Development and Deployment (MD&D) at the Violence Impact and Early Warning System (VIEWS), delivering actionable insights to humanitarian organizations.

🔍 Current Focus Areas:

  • HydraNet: Pioneering tempo-spatial learning using U-net + LSTM architectures to enhance conflict forecasting.

  • VIEWS Forecasting Pipeline: Developing the next-generation pipeline for more flexible, robust, and transparent conflict forecasts

  • VIEWS-FAO Conflict Return Periods: Pilot project of estimating the recurrence of highly destructive conflict events in collaboration with FAO to inform parametric insurance.

  • Actor-Level Conflict Escalation Patterns: Applying cutting-edge LLMs and newswire text analysis to decode conflict escalation dynamics at the actor level.

🎯 Driving Force: Trying really hard to generate actionable insights that enables early action, aiming to reduce the human toll of violent conflicts.

💡 Problem-Solving Philosophy: Fuel up on energy drinks, code, code, code, dive deep, get confused, embrace the confusion, get confused, repeat

💬 Ask Me About:

  • Forecasting violent conflict with Machine Learning.
  • Tempo-spatial modeling with neural networks.
  • The role (current and future) of AI and machine learning in peace and conflict processes.
  • Transparency, interpretability, and causality in AI-driven early warning systems for peace and conflict.
  • Collaborations or partnerships in conflict prediction.

🌐 Socials:

LinkedIn

💻 Tech Stack:

LaTeXMarkdownPythonRGoogle CloudAnacondaPrefectGimpInkscapeKerasMatplotlibNumPyPandasPyTorchscikit-learnScipyTensorFlowPlotlyGitHub ActionsGitGitHub

📊 GitHub Stats:



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  1. from_headlines_to_hotspotsfrom_headlines_to_hotspotsPublic

    Jupyter Notebook 4 1

  2. HydraNet_001HydraNet_001Public

    Repsetory for ConflictNet. A conflict forecasting network based on a recurrent - approximate baysian - Unet.

    Jupyter Notebook 1

  3. the_currents_of_conflictthe_currents_of_conflictPublic

    Updated version

    Jupyter Notebook 1

  4. prio-data/viewsforecastingprio-data/viewsforecastingPublic

    Jupyter notebooks and python scripts for performing the ViEWS monthly forecasts

    Jupyter Notebook 16 1

  5. prio-data/views_pipelineprio-data/views_pipelinePublic

    VIEWS forecasting pipeline for monthly prediction runs. Includes MLops and QA for all models/ensembles.

    Jupyter Notebook 7 3

  6. prio-data/VIEWS_FAO_indexprio-data/VIEWS_FAO_indexPublic

    Repo for the VIEWS FOA conflict index project

    Jupyter Notebook