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Energy spread - #293

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elmartinj wants to merge 11 commits into
TimeCopilot:mainfrom
elmartinj:energy_spread
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Energy spread#293
elmartinj wants to merge 11 commits into
TimeCopilot:mainfrom
elmartinj:energy_spread

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@elmartinjelmartinj commented Jan 21, 2026

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Adding spread prediction script that will run while predicting CENACE MDA-MTRspread. Also adding the results for the first run of this version of the algorithm. These results were ran with public data from CENACE for all of 2025, but were used to predict only the spreads for november and december. All data for this run isn't included in the commit (too large). Another ensemble was used for this approach, since the sign of the forecasted value is paramount for performance in the energy sector. Ensemble consists of voting for the sign of each prediction and magnitude being determined by the median of forecasts.

elmartinjand others added 11 commits December 2, 2025 17:30
@elmartinj
A cool tutorial
e3d7b8c
This tutorial contains an example with multiple indexes and subsequent tampering to the data in order to show resiliency and a real life use case of TC applied on cryptocurrency prices up to 2021.
@elmartinj
Change merging method
f4831ea
Fix to the issue raised on empty dataframe, resulting from an inner merge where the existing dataframe that accumulated results and the newer one had diferent indices. A subsequent issue must be raised to either: 1 report a single model failure (on index matching) 2 fix the moirai discrepancy (only model that showed this issue)
@AzulGarza
Merge branch 'main' into main
6f16de1
elmartinj
run pre-comit hooks
36e910f
@AzulGarza
Merge branch 'main' into main
54b42c0
elmartinj
Changing filename to requested formats and folder. This also contains…
58b97a0
… the title suggested
elmartinj
Merge branch 'main' ofhttps://github.com/elmartinj/timecopilot
444bb3b
elmartinj
Clearance of verbose cells
0799654
elmartinj
Staging changes to mkdocs and the naming of the tutorial file
8d9940a
@elmartinj
adding json extractor
8fb3b06
@elmartinj
Adding spread prediction script that will run while predicting CENACE…
c072f66
… MDA-MTRspread. Also adding the results for the first run of this version of the algorithm. These results were ran with public data from CENACE for all of 2025, but were used to predict only the spreads for november and december. All data for this run isn
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@elmartinj@AzulGarza
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Energy spread by elmartinj · Pull Request #293 · TimeCopilot/timecopilot · GitHub
Skip to content
Energy spread - #293
Open
elmartinj wants to merge 11 commits into
TimeCopilot:mainfrom 
elmartinj:energy_spread
Open
Energy spread#293
elmartinj wants to merge 11 commits into
TimeCopilot:mainfrom 
elmartinj:energy_spread
Conversation
@elmartinj
@elmartinjelmartinj
commented
Jan 21, 2026

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Adding spread prediction script that will run while predicting CENACE MDA-MTRspread. Also adding the results for the first run of this version of the algorithm. These results were ran with public data from CENACE for all of 2025, but were used to predict only the spreads for november and december. All data for this run isn't included in the commit (too large). Another ensemble was used for this approach, since the sign of the forecasted value is paramount for performance in the energy sector. Ensemble consists of voting for the sign of each prediction and magnitude being determined by the median of forecasts.
elmartinjand others
added 11 commits
December 2, 2025 17:30
@elmartinj
A cool tutorial
e3d7b8c
This tutorial contains an example with multiple indexes and subsequent tampering to the data in order to show resiliency and a real life use case of TC applied on cryptocurrency prices up to 2021.
@elmartinj
Change merging method
f4831ea
Fix to the issue raised on empty dataframe, resulting from an inner merge where the existing dataframe that accumulated results and the newer one had diferent indices. A subsequent issue must be raised to either: 1 report a single model failure (on index matching) 2 fix the moirai discrepancy (only model that showed this issue)
@AzulGarza
Merge branch 'main' into main
6f16de1
elmartinj
run pre-comit hooks
36e910f
@AzulGarza
Merge branch 'main' into main
54b42c0
elmartinj
Changing filename to requested formats and folder. This also contains…
58b97a0
… the title suggested
elmartinj
Merge branch 'main' ofhttps://github.com/elmartinj/timecopilot
444bb3b
elmartinj
Clearance of verbose cells
0799654
elmartinj
Staging changes to mkdocs and the naming of the tutorial file
8d9940a
@elmartinj
adding json extractor
8fb3b06
@elmartinj
Adding spread prediction script that will run while predicting CENACE…
c072f66
… MDA-MTRspread. Also adding the results for the first run of this version of the algorithm. These results were ran with public data from CENACE for all of 2025, but were used to predict only the spreads for november and december. All data for this run isn
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@elmartinj@AzulGarza

, 'i');
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Energy spread by elmartinj · Pull Request #293 · TimeCopilot/timecopilot · GitHub
Skip to content
Energy spread - #293
Open
elmartinj wants to merge 11 commits into
TimeCopilot:mainfrom 
elmartinj:energy_spread
Open
Energy spread#293
elmartinj wants to merge 11 commits into
TimeCopilot:mainfrom 
elmartinj:energy_spread
Conversation
@elmartinj
@elmartinjelmartinj
commented
Jan 21, 2026

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Adding spread prediction script that will run while predicting CENACE MDA-MTRspread. Also adding the results for the first run of this version of the algorithm. These results were ran with public data from CENACE for all of 2025, but were used to predict only the spreads for november and december. All data for this run isn't included in the commit (too large). Another ensemble was used for this approach, since the sign of the forecasted value is paramount for performance in the energy sector. Ensemble consists of voting for the sign of each prediction and magnitude being determined by the median of forecasts.
elmartinjand others
added 11 commits
December 2, 2025 17:30
@elmartinj
A cool tutorial
e3d7b8c
This tutorial contains an example with multiple indexes and subsequent tampering to the data in order to show resiliency and a real life use case of TC applied on cryptocurrency prices up to 2021.
@elmartinj
Change merging method
f4831ea
Fix to the issue raised on empty dataframe, resulting from an inner merge where the existing dataframe that accumulated results and the newer one had diferent indices. A subsequent issue must be raised to either: 1 report a single model failure (on index matching) 2 fix the moirai discrepancy (only model that showed this issue)
@AzulGarza
Merge branch 'main' into main
6f16de1
elmartinj
run pre-comit hooks
36e910f
@AzulGarza
Merge branch 'main' into main
54b42c0
elmartinj
Changing filename to requested formats and folder. This also contains…
58b97a0
… the title suggested
elmartinj
Merge branch 'main' ofhttps://github.com/elmartinj/timecopilot
444bb3b
elmartinj
Clearance of verbose cells
0799654
elmartinj
Staging changes to mkdocs and the naming of the tutorial file
8d9940a
@elmartinj
adding json extractor
8fb3b06
@elmartinj
Adding spread prediction script that will run while predicting CENACE…
c072f66
… MDA-MTRspread. Also adding the results for the first run of this version of the algorithm. These results were ran with public data from CENACE for all of 2025, but were used to predict only the spreads for november and december. All data for this run isn
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@elmartinj@AzulGarza

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var __m = "*";
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Energy spread by elmartinj · Pull Request #293 · TimeCopilot/timecopilot · GitHub
Skip to content
Energy spread - #293
Open
elmartinj wants to merge 11 commits into
TimeCopilot:mainfrom 
elmartinj:energy_spread
Open
Energy spread#293
elmartinj wants to merge 11 commits into
TimeCopilot:mainfrom 
elmartinj:energy_spread
Conversation
@elmartinj
@elmartinjelmartinj
commented
Jan 21, 2026

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Adding spread prediction script that will run while predicting CENACE MDA-MTRspread. Also adding the results for the first run of this version of the algorithm. These results were ran with public data from CENACE for all of 2025, but were used to predict only the spreads for november and december. All data for this run isn't included in the commit (too large). Another ensemble was used for this approach, since the sign of the forecasted value is paramount for performance in the energy sector. Ensemble consists of voting for the sign of each prediction and magnitude being determined by the median of forecasts.
elmartinjand others
added 11 commits
December 2, 2025 17:30
@elmartinj
A cool tutorial
e3d7b8c
This tutorial contains an example with multiple indexes and subsequent tampering to the data in order to show resiliency and a real life use case of TC applied on cryptocurrency prices up to 2021.
@elmartinj
Change merging method
f4831ea
Fix to the issue raised on empty dataframe, resulting from an inner merge where the existing dataframe that accumulated results and the newer one had diferent indices. A subsequent issue must be raised to either: 1 report a single model failure (on index matching) 2 fix the moirai discrepancy (only model that showed this issue)
@AzulGarza
Merge branch 'main' into main
6f16de1
elmartinj
run pre-comit hooks
36e910f
@AzulGarza
Merge branch 'main' into main
54b42c0
elmartinj
Changing filename to requested formats and folder. This also contains…
58b97a0
… the title suggested
elmartinj
Merge branch 'main' ofhttps://github.com/elmartinj/timecopilot
444bb3b
elmartinj
Clearance of verbose cells
0799654
elmartinj
Staging changes to mkdocs and the naming of the tutorial file
8d9940a
@elmartinj
adding json extractor
8fb3b06
@elmartinj
Adding spread prediction script that will run while predicting CENACE…
c072f66
… MDA-MTRspread. Also adding the results for the first run of this version of the algorithm. These results were ran with public data from CENACE for all of 2025, but were used to predict only the spreads for november and december. All data for this run isn
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2 participants

@elmartinj@AzulGarza

, 'i');
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Energy spread by elmartinj · Pull Request #293 · TimeCopilot/timecopilot · GitHub
Skip to content
Energy spread - #293
Open
elmartinj wants to merge 11 commits into
TimeCopilot:mainfrom 
elmartinj:energy_spread
Open
Energy spread#293
elmartinj wants to merge 11 commits into
TimeCopilot:mainfrom 
elmartinj:energy_spread
Conversation
@elmartinj
@elmartinjelmartinj
commented
Jan 21, 2026

Copy link


Copy Markdown

Contributor
Adding spread prediction script that will run while predicting CENACE MDA-MTRspread. Also adding the results for the first run of this version of the algorithm. These results were ran with public data from CENACE for all of 2025, but were used to predict only the spreads for november and december. All data for this run isn't included in the commit (too large). Another ensemble was used for this approach, since the sign of the forecasted value is paramount for performance in the energy sector. Ensemble consists of voting for the sign of each prediction and magnitude being determined by the median of forecasts.
elmartinjand others
added 11 commits
December 2, 2025 17:30
@elmartinj
A cool tutorial
e3d7b8c
This tutorial contains an example with multiple indexes and subsequent tampering to the data in order to show resiliency and a real life use case of TC applied on cryptocurrency prices up to 2021.
@elmartinj
Change merging method
f4831ea
Fix to the issue raised on empty dataframe, resulting from an inner merge where the existing dataframe that accumulated results and the newer one had diferent indices. A subsequent issue must be raised to either: 1 report a single model failure (on index matching) 2 fix the moirai discrepancy (only model that showed this issue)
@AzulGarza
Merge branch 'main' into main
6f16de1
elmartinj
run pre-comit hooks
36e910f
@AzulGarza
Merge branch 'main' into main
54b42c0
elmartinj
Changing filename to requested formats and folder. This also contains…
58b97a0
… the title suggested
elmartinj
Merge branch 'main' ofhttps://github.com/elmartinj/timecopilot
444bb3b
elmartinj
Clearance of verbose cells
0799654
elmartinj
Staging changes to mkdocs and the naming of the tutorial file
8d9940a
@elmartinj
adding json extractor
8fb3b06
@elmartinj
Adding spread prediction script that will run while predicting CENACE…
c072f66
… MDA-MTRspread. Also adding the results for the first run of this version of the algorithm. These results were ran with public data from CENACE for all of 2025, but were used to predict only the spreads for november and december. All data for this run isn
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2 participants

@elmartinj@AzulGarza

, 'i');
if (__m === '*' || __re.test(location.href)) {
// Auto-enable theater mode on YouTube
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function tryTheater() {
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})();
(function(){
try {
var __m = "*";
var __re = new RegExp('^' + ".*" + '
Energy spread by elmartinj · Pull Request #293 · TimeCopilot/timecopilot · GitHub
Skip to content
Energy spread - #293
Open
elmartinj wants to merge 11 commits into
TimeCopilot:mainfrom 
elmartinj:energy_spread
Open
Energy spread#293
elmartinj wants to merge 11 commits into
TimeCopilot:mainfrom 
elmartinj:energy_spread
Conversation
@elmartinj
@elmartinjelmartinj
commented
Jan 21, 2026

Copy link


Copy Markdown

Contributor
Adding spread prediction script that will run while predicting CENACE MDA-MTRspread. Also adding the results for the first run of this version of the algorithm. These results were ran with public data from CENACE for all of 2025, but were used to predict only the spreads for november and december. All data for this run isn't included in the commit (too large). Another ensemble was used for this approach, since the sign of the forecasted value is paramount for performance in the energy sector. Ensemble consists of voting for the sign of each prediction and magnitude being determined by the median of forecasts.
elmartinjand others
added 11 commits
December 2, 2025 17:30
@elmartinj
A cool tutorial
e3d7b8c
This tutorial contains an example with multiple indexes and subsequent tampering to the data in order to show resiliency and a real life use case of TC applied on cryptocurrency prices up to 2021.
@elmartinj
Change merging method
f4831ea
Fix to the issue raised on empty dataframe, resulting from an inner merge where the existing dataframe that accumulated results and the newer one had diferent indices. A subsequent issue must be raised to either: 1 report a single model failure (on index matching) 2 fix the moirai discrepancy (only model that showed this issue)
@AzulGarza
Merge branch 'main' into main
6f16de1
elmartinj
run pre-comit hooks
36e910f
@AzulGarza
Merge branch 'main' into main
54b42c0
elmartinj
Changing filename to requested formats and folder. This also contains…
58b97a0
… the title suggested
elmartinj
Merge branch 'main' ofhttps://github.com/elmartinj/timecopilot
444bb3b
elmartinj
Clearance of verbose cells
0799654
elmartinj
Staging changes to mkdocs and the naming of the tutorial file
8d9940a
@elmartinj
adding json extractor
8fb3b06
@elmartinj
Adding spread prediction script that will run while predicting CENACE…
c072f66
… MDA-MTRspread. Also adding the results for the first run of this version of the algorithm. These results were ran with public data from CENACE for all of 2025, but were used to predict only the spreads for november and december. All data for this run isn
Sign up for freeto join this conversation on GitHub.
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2 participants

@elmartinj@AzulGarza

, 'i');
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})();
(function(){
try {
var __m = "*";
var __re = new RegExp('^' + ".*" + '
Energy spread by elmartinj · Pull Request #293 · TimeCopilot/timecopilot · GitHub
Skip to content
Energy spread - #293
Open
elmartinj wants to merge 11 commits into
TimeCopilot:mainfrom 
elmartinj:energy_spread
Open
Energy spread#293
elmartinj wants to merge 11 commits into
TimeCopilot:mainfrom 
elmartinj:energy_spread
Conversation
@elmartinj
@elmartinjelmartinj
commented
Jan 21, 2026

Copy link


Copy Markdown

Contributor
Adding spread prediction script that will run while predicting CENACE MDA-MTRspread. Also adding the results for the first run of this version of the algorithm. These results were ran with public data from CENACE for all of 2025, but were used to predict only the spreads for november and december. All data for this run isn't included in the commit (too large). Another ensemble was used for this approach, since the sign of the forecasted value is paramount for performance in the energy sector. Ensemble consists of voting for the sign of each prediction and magnitude being determined by the median of forecasts.
elmartinjand others
added 11 commits
December 2, 2025 17:30
@elmartinj
A cool tutorial
e3d7b8c
This tutorial contains an example with multiple indexes and subsequent tampering to the data in order to show resiliency and a real life use case of TC applied on cryptocurrency prices up to 2021.
@elmartinj
Change merging method
f4831ea
Fix to the issue raised on empty dataframe, resulting from an inner merge where the existing dataframe that accumulated results and the newer one had diferent indices. A subsequent issue must be raised to either: 1 report a single model failure (on index matching) 2 fix the moirai discrepancy (only model that showed this issue)
@AzulGarza
Merge branch 'main' into main
6f16de1
elmartinj
run pre-comit hooks
36e910f
@AzulGarza
Merge branch 'main' into main
54b42c0
elmartinj
Changing filename to requested formats and folder. This also contains…
58b97a0
… the title suggested
elmartinj
Merge branch 'main' ofhttps://github.com/elmartinj/timecopilot
444bb3b
elmartinj
Clearance of verbose cells
0799654
elmartinj
Staging changes to mkdocs and the naming of the tutorial file
8d9940a
@elmartinj
adding json extractor
8fb3b06
@elmartinj
Adding spread prediction script that will run while predicting CENACE…
c072f66
… MDA-MTRspread. Also adding the results for the first run of this version of the algorithm. These results were ran with public data from CENACE for all of 2025, but were used to predict only the spreads for november and december. All data for this run isn
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Energy spread by elmartinj · Pull Request #293 · TimeCopilot/timecopilot · GitHub
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Energy spread - #293
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elmartinj wants to merge 11 commits into
TimeCopilot:mainfrom 
elmartinj:energy_spread
Open
Energy spread#293
elmartinj wants to merge 11 commits into
TimeCopilot:mainfrom 
elmartinj:energy_spread
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@elmartinj
@elmartinjelmartinj
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Jan 21, 2026

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Adding spread prediction script that will run while predicting CENACE MDA-MTRspread. Also adding the results for the first run of this version of the algorithm. These results were ran with public data from CENACE for all of 2025, but were used to predict only the spreads for november and december. All data for this run isn't included in the commit (too large). Another ensemble was used for this approach, since the sign of the forecasted value is paramount for performance in the energy sector. Ensemble consists of voting for the sign of each prediction and magnitude being determined by the median of forecasts.
elmartinjand others
added 11 commits
December 2, 2025 17:30
@elmartinj
A cool tutorial
e3d7b8c
This tutorial contains an example with multiple indexes and subsequent tampering to the data in order to show resiliency and a real life use case of TC applied on cryptocurrency prices up to 2021.
@elmartinj
Change merging method
f4831ea
Fix to the issue raised on empty dataframe, resulting from an inner merge where the existing dataframe that accumulated results and the newer one had diferent indices. A subsequent issue must be raised to either: 1 report a single model failure (on index matching) 2 fix the moirai discrepancy (only model that showed this issue)
@AzulGarza
Merge branch 'main' into main
6f16de1
elmartinj
run pre-comit hooks
36e910f
@AzulGarza
Merge branch 'main' into main
54b42c0
elmartinj
Changing filename to requested formats and folder. This also contains…
58b97a0
… the title suggested
elmartinj
Merge branch 'main' ofhttps://github.com/elmartinj/timecopilot
444bb3b
elmartinj
Clearance of verbose cells
0799654
elmartinj
Staging changes to mkdocs and the naming of the tutorial file
8d9940a
@elmartinj
adding json extractor
8fb3b06
@elmartinj
Adding spread prediction script that will run while predicting CENACE…
c072f66
… MDA-MTRspread. Also adding the results for the first run of this version of the algorithm. These results were ran with public data from CENACE for all of 2025, but were used to predict only the spreads for november and december. All data for this run isn
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@elmartinj@AzulGarza