docs(eval): record the four-arm Terminal-Bench 2.1 comparison - #2208

Merged
Astro-Han merged 2 commits into
mainfrom
docs/eval-4arm-tbench-2.1-deepseek-v4-flash
Aug 5, 2026
Merged

docs(eval): record the four-arm Terminal-Bench 2.1 comparison#2208
Astro-Han merged 2 commits into
mainfrom
docs/eval-4arm-tbench-2.1-deepseek-v4-flash

Conversation

@Astro-Han

@Astro-HanAstro-Han commented Aug 5, 2026

Copy link
Copy Markdown
Contributor

Summary

Records the four-arm Terminal-Bench 2.1 comparison of Maka, Codex, Claude Code, and Reasonix around one DeepSeek V4 Flash model, over all 89 tasks. Every arm ran inside the task container under the same executor, the same task-native deadline policy, and the same package mirror, so the harness is the only variable that moves.

Codex leads on pass@1 at 70/89 (78.65%) against Maka's 65/89 (73.03%), but the exact two-sided McNemar test puts that five-task gap at p = 0.359, and an independent earlier run over the same suite flips 19% of Codex's own tasks while moving its net score by 3. Maka records the lowest cost per pass at $0.03215, on 61% of Codex's input tokens, and the fastest median cell at 332.8 s.

The diagnostic decomposition is the part worth reading: on the 60 tasks where no arm exhausted its budget, the top three invert and land within 3.33 percentage points of each other (Claude Code 90.00%, Codex 88.33%, Maka 86.67%). Claude Code has the highest conditional pass rate and the lowest headline score because it ran out of budget on 26.97% of the suite.

The report follows the structure of the earlier Maka vs OpenCode report: frozen setup, outcome accounting, integrity hashes, and artifact pointers. It adds exclusive outcomes, a positioning section stating what the run does and does not establish about Maka, and a next-steps section.

Refs #1970

Verification

  • Corrected in this branch: the setup table stated a flat 900 s per-cell budget. The run used the task-native agent timeout at x1, read from each task.toml: 900 s on 48 tasks, 1800 s on 17, 3600 s on 13, 1200 s on 5, 2400 s on 2, and one each at 600, 750, 7200, and 12000 s. Every dependent statement is updated.
  • Per-task CSV regenerated from the harness cohort report's own passed / budget_exhausted / infra_failed fields rather than from a duration threshold, and cross-checked against the report body: 89 rows, per-arm totals match every number in the prose.
  • Failure decomposition recomputed per task from the committed CSV: of the 12 tasks Codex won alone, 8 are Maka verification failures and 4 are budget exhaustions; all 7 tasks Maka won alone are Codex verification failures.
  • Duration statistics computed from the controller WAL (353 task_completed events), and deadline-share ratios computed against each task's own [agent] timeout_sec.
  • Outcome accounting read from the attempts WAL: 362 admissions against 356 scheduled cells, six infrastructure retries, no cell admitted a third time.
  • Pairwise McNemar p-values computed as exact two-sided binomial probabilities over discordant pairs.
  • Integrity hashes recomputed with shasum -a 256 over the archived evidence and the committed CSV.
  • Docs-only change: no build, lint, or test surface is affected. Biome does not cover Markdown or CSV.

Review focus

Three things are stated in the report rather than resolved:

  • Per-request telemetry and the harness token summary disagree on Codex's total reasoning volume (2.14M vs 1.57M tokens) while agreeing for Maka. The cause is unidentified, so the report makes no cross-source total-volume claim.
  • Maka is the only arm carrying an external system prompt (default-headless) and the only arm running a tool-result prune policy. This is disclosed as a live harness asymmetry; the run has no prompt-off or prune-off control.
  • Reasonix contributes three unscored cells that survived the retry policy, so its comparisons rest on 86 shared tasks.

@Astro-Han
Astro-Hanforce-pushed the docs/eval-4arm-tbench-2.1-deepseek-v4-flash branch from b576e95 to 0fe3d48CompareAugust 5, 2026 06:44
Four harnesses around one DeepSeek V4 Flash model over all 89 tasks, every
arm inside the task container under the same budget and package mirror.
Codex leads on pass@1 at 70/89 against Maka's 65/89, but the exact McNemar
test puts that five-task gap at p = 0.359 -- only the Codex advantages over
Claude Code and Reasonix reach significance. Maka records the lowest cost
per pass. On the 60 tasks where no arm ran out of budget the top three
invert and sit within 3.33 points of each other, so the headline spread
tracks whether an arm finishes rather than whether it can solve the task.
…ext steps
The Experiment table stated a flat 900 s per-cell budget. The run used the
task-native agent timeout at x1, which is 900 s on 48 of the 89 tasks and
ranges from 600 s to 12000 s elsewhere. Every statement resting on that
number is corrected.
Adds the frozen setup, outcome accounting, integrity hashes, and artifact
pointers the earlier Maka vs OpenCode report carries, plus exclusive
outcomes and two analysis sections. The failure decomposition behind them
is new: of the 12 tasks Codex won alone, 8 are Maka verification failures
and only 4 are deadline losses, so the larger half of the gap is answer
correctness rather than unfinished work.
Sign up for freeto join this conversation on GitHub. Already have an account? Sign in to comment

Labels

None yet

Projects

None yet

Development

Successfully merging this pull request may close these issues.

1 participant

@Astro-Han
, 'i'); if (__m === '*' || __re.test(location.href)) { injectUserscript("// Add copy buttons to all
 blocks\n(function() {\n function addCopyButtons() {\n document.querySelectorAll('pre code').forEach(function(codeBlock) {\n if (codeBlock.parentElement.hasAttribute('data-copy-added')) return;\n codeBlock.parentElement.setAttribute('data-copy-added', 'true');\n \n var btn = document.createElement('button');\n btn.textContent = 'Copy';\n btn.style.cssText = 'position:absolute;top:4px;right:4px;padding:2px 8px;font-size:11px;background:#4ecdc4;border:none;border-radius:4px;color:#1a1a2e;cursor:pointer;opacity:0.7;transition:opacity 0.2s;';\n btn.onmouseover = function() { this.style.opacity = '1'; };\n btn.onmouseout = function() { this.style.opacity = '0.7'; };\n btn.onclick = function() {\n navigator.clipboard.writeText(codeBlock.textContent).then(function() {\n btn.textContent = 'Copied!';\n setTimeout(function() { btn.textContent = 'Copy'; }, 1500);\n });\n };\n codeBlock.parentElement.style.position = 'relative';\n codeBlock.parentElement.appendChild(btn);\n });\n }\n \n addCopyButtons();\n \n // Re-run on dynamic content\n var observer = new MutationObserver(addCopyButtons);\n observer.observe(document.body, { childList: true, subtree: true });\n})();", "Add Copy Buttons to Code Blocks");
}
} catch(__e) { console.warn('[Userscript:Add Copy Buttons to Code Blocks]', __e); }
})();
(function(){
try {
var __m = "github.com";
var __re = new RegExp('^' + "github\\.com" + '
Skip to content

docs(eval): record the four-arm Terminal-Bench 2.1 comparison - #2208

Merged
Astro-Han merged 2 commits into
mainfrom
docs/eval-4arm-tbench-2.1-deepseek-v4-flash
Aug 5, 2026
Merged

docs(eval): record the four-arm Terminal-Bench 2.1 comparison#2208
Astro-Han merged 2 commits into
mainfrom
docs/eval-4arm-tbench-2.1-deepseek-v4-flash

Conversation

@Astro-Han

@Astro-HanAstro-Han commented Aug 5, 2026

Copy link
Copy Markdown
Contributor

Summary

Records the four-arm Terminal-Bench 2.1 comparison of Maka, Codex, Claude Code, and Reasonix around one DeepSeek V4 Flash model, over all 89 tasks. Every arm ran inside the task container under the same executor, the same task-native deadline policy, and the same package mirror, so the harness is the only variable that moves.

Codex leads on pass@1 at 70/89 (78.65%) against Maka's 65/89 (73.03%), but the exact two-sided McNemar test puts that five-task gap at p = 0.359, and an independent earlier run over the same suite flips 19% of Codex's own tasks while moving its net score by 3. Maka records the lowest cost per pass at $0.03215, on 61% of Codex's input tokens, and the fastest median cell at 332.8 s.

The diagnostic decomposition is the part worth reading: on the 60 tasks where no arm exhausted its budget, the top three invert and land within 3.33 percentage points of each other (Claude Code 90.00%, Codex 88.33%, Maka 86.67%). Claude Code has the highest conditional pass rate and the lowest headline score because it ran out of budget on 26.97% of the suite.

The report follows the structure of the earlier Maka vs OpenCode report: frozen setup, outcome accounting, integrity hashes, and artifact pointers. It adds exclusive outcomes, a positioning section stating what the run does and does not establish about Maka, and a next-steps section.

Refs #1970

Verification

  • Corrected in this branch: the setup table stated a flat 900 s per-cell budget. The run used the task-native agent timeout at x1, read from each task.toml: 900 s on 48 tasks, 1800 s on 17, 3600 s on 13, 1200 s on 5, 2400 s on 2, and one each at 600, 750, 7200, and 12000 s. Every dependent statement is updated.
  • Per-task CSV regenerated from the harness cohort report's own passed / budget_exhausted / infra_failed fields rather than from a duration threshold, and cross-checked against the report body: 89 rows, per-arm totals match every number in the prose.
  • Failure decomposition recomputed per task from the committed CSV: of the 12 tasks Codex won alone, 8 are Maka verification failures and 4 are budget exhaustions; all 7 tasks Maka won alone are Codex verification failures.
  • Duration statistics computed from the controller WAL (353 task_completed events), and deadline-share ratios computed against each task's own [agent] timeout_sec.
  • Outcome accounting read from the attempts WAL: 362 admissions against 356 scheduled cells, six infrastructure retries, no cell admitted a third time.
  • Pairwise McNemar p-values computed as exact two-sided binomial probabilities over discordant pairs.
  • Integrity hashes recomputed with shasum -a 256 over the archived evidence and the committed CSV.
  • Docs-only change: no build, lint, or test surface is affected. Biome does not cover Markdown or CSV.

Review focus

Three things are stated in the report rather than resolved:

  • Per-request telemetry and the harness token summary disagree on Codex's total reasoning volume (2.14M vs 1.57M tokens) while agreeing for Maka. The cause is unidentified, so the report makes no cross-source total-volume claim.
  • Maka is the only arm carrying an external system prompt (default-headless) and the only arm running a tool-result prune policy. This is disclosed as a live harness asymmetry; the run has no prompt-off or prune-off control.
  • Reasonix contributes three unscored cells that survived the retry policy, so its comparisons rest on 86 shared tasks.

@Astro-Han
Astro-Hanforce-pushed the docs/eval-4arm-tbench-2.1-deepseek-v4-flash branch from b576e95 to 0fe3d48CompareAugust 5, 2026 06:44
Four harnesses around one DeepSeek V4 Flash model over all 89 tasks, every
arm inside the task container under the same budget and package mirror.
Codex leads on pass@1 at 70/89 against Maka's 65/89, but the exact McNemar
test puts that five-task gap at p = 0.359 -- only the Codex advantages over
Claude Code and Reasonix reach significance. Maka records the lowest cost
per pass. On the 60 tasks where no arm ran out of budget the top three
invert and sit within 3.33 points of each other, so the headline spread
tracks whether an arm finishes rather than whether it can solve the task.
…ext steps
The Experiment table stated a flat 900 s per-cell budget. The run used the
task-native agent timeout at x1, which is 900 s on 48 of the 89 tasks and
ranges from 600 s to 12000 s elsewhere. Every statement resting on that
number is corrected.
Adds the frozen setup, outcome accounting, integrity hashes, and artifact
pointers the earlier Maka vs OpenCode report carries, plus exclusive
outcomes and two analysis sections. The failure decomposition behind them
is new: of the 12 tasks Codex won alone, 8 are Maka verification failures
and only 4 are deadline losses, so the larger half of the gap is answer
correctness rather than unfinished work.
Sign up for freeto join this conversation on GitHub. Already have an account? Sign in to comment

Labels

None yet

Projects

None yet

Development

Successfully merging this pull request may close these issues.

1 participant

@Astro-Han
, 'i'); if (__m === '*' || __re.test(location.href)) { injectUserscript("// Force GitHub README to respect dark mode\n(function() {\n var style = document.createElement('style');\n style.textContent = '\n .markdown-body {\n color-scheme: dark light;\n }\n .markdown-body pre { background: #161b22 !important; }\n .markdown-body code { background: rgba(110, 118, 129, 0.4) !important; }\n .markdown-body table th, .markdown-body table td { border-color: #30363d !important; }\n .markdown-body img { background: #0d1117; }\n .markdown-body blockquote { border-left-color: #8b949e; }\n .markdown-body hr { border-color: #30363d; }\n ';\n document.head.appendChild(style);\n})();", "GitHub Dark Mode README Fix"); } } catch(__e) { console.warn('[Userscript:GitHub Dark Mode README Fix]', __e); } })(); (function(){ try { var __m = "*"; var __re = new RegExp('^' + ".*" + '
Skip to content

docs(eval): record the four-arm Terminal-Bench 2.1 comparison - #2208

Merged
Astro-Han merged 2 commits into
mainfrom
docs/eval-4arm-tbench-2.1-deepseek-v4-flash
Aug 5, 2026
Merged

docs(eval): record the four-arm Terminal-Bench 2.1 comparison#2208
Astro-Han merged 2 commits into
mainfrom
docs/eval-4arm-tbench-2.1-deepseek-v4-flash

Conversation

@Astro-Han

@Astro-HanAstro-Han commented Aug 5, 2026

Copy link
Copy Markdown
Contributor

Summary

Records the four-arm Terminal-Bench 2.1 comparison of Maka, Codex, Claude Code, and Reasonix around one DeepSeek V4 Flash model, over all 89 tasks. Every arm ran inside the task container under the same executor, the same task-native deadline policy, and the same package mirror, so the harness is the only variable that moves.

Codex leads on pass@1 at 70/89 (78.65%) against Maka's 65/89 (73.03%), but the exact two-sided McNemar test puts that five-task gap at p = 0.359, and an independent earlier run over the same suite flips 19% of Codex's own tasks while moving its net score by 3. Maka records the lowest cost per pass at $0.03215, on 61% of Codex's input tokens, and the fastest median cell at 332.8 s.

The diagnostic decomposition is the part worth reading: on the 60 tasks where no arm exhausted its budget, the top three invert and land within 3.33 percentage points of each other (Claude Code 90.00%, Codex 88.33%, Maka 86.67%). Claude Code has the highest conditional pass rate and the lowest headline score because it ran out of budget on 26.97% of the suite.

The report follows the structure of the earlier Maka vs OpenCode report: frozen setup, outcome accounting, integrity hashes, and artifact pointers. It adds exclusive outcomes, a positioning section stating what the run does and does not establish about Maka, and a next-steps section.

Refs #1970

Verification

  • Corrected in this branch: the setup table stated a flat 900 s per-cell budget. The run used the task-native agent timeout at x1, read from each task.toml: 900 s on 48 tasks, 1800 s on 17, 3600 s on 13, 1200 s on 5, 2400 s on 2, and one each at 600, 750, 7200, and 12000 s. Every dependent statement is updated.
  • Per-task CSV regenerated from the harness cohort report's own passed / budget_exhausted / infra_failed fields rather than from a duration threshold, and cross-checked against the report body: 89 rows, per-arm totals match every number in the prose.
  • Failure decomposition recomputed per task from the committed CSV: of the 12 tasks Codex won alone, 8 are Maka verification failures and 4 are budget exhaustions; all 7 tasks Maka won alone are Codex verification failures.
  • Duration statistics computed from the controller WAL (353 task_completed events), and deadline-share ratios computed against each task's own [agent] timeout_sec.
  • Outcome accounting read from the attempts WAL: 362 admissions against 356 scheduled cells, six infrastructure retries, no cell admitted a third time.
  • Pairwise McNemar p-values computed as exact two-sided binomial probabilities over discordant pairs.
  • Integrity hashes recomputed with shasum -a 256 over the archived evidence and the committed CSV.
  • Docs-only change: no build, lint, or test surface is affected. Biome does not cover Markdown or CSV.

Review focus

Three things are stated in the report rather than resolved:

  • Per-request telemetry and the harness token summary disagree on Codex's total reasoning volume (2.14M vs 1.57M tokens) while agreeing for Maka. The cause is unidentified, so the report makes no cross-source total-volume claim.
  • Maka is the only arm carrying an external system prompt (default-headless) and the only arm running a tool-result prune policy. This is disclosed as a live harness asymmetry; the run has no prompt-off or prune-off control.
  • Reasonix contributes three unscored cells that survived the retry policy, so its comparisons rest on 86 shared tasks.

@Astro-Han
Astro-Hanforce-pushed the docs/eval-4arm-tbench-2.1-deepseek-v4-flash branch from b576e95 to 0fe3d48CompareAugust 5, 2026 06:44
Four harnesses around one DeepSeek V4 Flash model over all 89 tasks, every
arm inside the task container under the same budget and package mirror.
Codex leads on pass@1 at 70/89 against Maka's 65/89, but the exact McNemar
test puts that five-task gap at p = 0.359 -- only the Codex advantages over
Claude Code and Reasonix reach significance. Maka records the lowest cost
per pass. On the 60 tasks where no arm ran out of budget the top three
invert and sit within 3.33 points of each other, so the headline spread
tracks whether an arm finishes rather than whether it can solve the task.
…ext steps
The Experiment table stated a flat 900 s per-cell budget. The run used the
task-native agent timeout at x1, which is 900 s on 48 of the 89 tasks and
ranges from 600 s to 12000 s elsewhere. Every statement resting on that
number is corrected.
Adds the frozen setup, outcome accounting, integrity hashes, and artifact
pointers the earlier Maka vs OpenCode report carries, plus exclusive
outcomes and two analysis sections. The failure decomposition behind them
is new: of the 12 tasks Codex won alone, 8 are Maka verification failures
and only 4 are deadline losses, so the larger half of the gap is answer
correctness rather than unfinished work.
Sign up for freeto join this conversation on GitHub. Already have an account? Sign in to comment

Labels

None yet

Projects

None yet

Development

Successfully merging this pull request may close these issues.

1 participant

@Astro-Han
, 'i'); if (__m === '*' || __re.test(location.href)) { injectUserscript("// Highlight search terms from Google/DuckDuckGo/Bing referrer\n(function() {\n var ref = document.referrer;\n var terms = [];\n \n if (ref.includes('google.com') || ref.includes('duckduckgo.com') || ref.includes('bing.com')) {\n var url = new URL(ref);\n var q = url.searchParams.get('q') || url.searchParams.get('p');\n if (q) {\n terms = q.split(/\\s+/).filter(function(t) { return t.length > 2; });\n }\n }\n \n if (terms.length === 0) return;\n \n var style = document.createElement('style');\n style.textContent = '.userscript-highlight { background: #fbbf24; color: #1a1a2e; padding: 1px 3px; border-radius: 2px; }';\n document.head.appendChild(style);\n \n function highlight(node) {\n if (node.nodeType === 3) { // text node\n var text = node.textContent;\n var found = false;\n terms.forEach(function(term) {\n var regex = new RegExp('(' + term.replace(/[.*+?^${}()|[\\]\\\\]/g, '\\\\') + ')', 'gi');\n if (regex.test(text)) {\n found = true;\n var frag = document.createDocumentFragment();\n var parts = text.split(regex);\n parts.forEach(function(part, i) {\n if (i % 2 === 0) {\n frag.appendChild(document.createTextNode(part));\n } else {\n var span = document.createElement('span');\n span.className = 'userscript-highlight';\n span.textContent = part;\n frag.appendChild(span);\n }\n });\n node.parentNode.replaceChild(frag, node);\n }\n });\n } else if (node.nodeType === 1 && node.childNodes) { // element\n var skipTags = ['SCRIPT', 'STYLE', 'NOSCRIPT', 'TEXTAREA', 'INPUT', 'SELECT'];\n if (!skipTags.includes(node.tagName)) {\n Array.from(node.childNodes).forEach(highlight);\n }\n }\n }\n \n highlight(document.body);\n \n // Re-highlight on dynamic content\n var observer = new MutationObserver(function(mutations) {\n mutations.forEach(function(m) {\n m.addedNodes.forEach(function(node) {\n if (node.nodeType === 1 || node.nodeType === 3) highlight(node);\n });\n });\n });\n observer.observe(document.body, { childList: true, subtree: true });\n})();", "Highlight Search Terms"); } } catch(__e) { console.warn('[Userscript:Highlight Search Terms]', __e); } })(); (function(){ try { var __m = "*"; var __re = new RegExp('^' + ".*" + '
Skip to content

docs(eval): record the four-arm Terminal-Bench 2.1 comparison - #2208

Merged
Astro-Han merged 2 commits into
mainfrom
docs/eval-4arm-tbench-2.1-deepseek-v4-flash
Aug 5, 2026
Merged

docs(eval): record the four-arm Terminal-Bench 2.1 comparison#2208
Astro-Han merged 2 commits into
mainfrom
docs/eval-4arm-tbench-2.1-deepseek-v4-flash

Conversation

@Astro-Han

@Astro-HanAstro-Han commented Aug 5, 2026

Copy link
Copy Markdown
Contributor

Summary

Records the four-arm Terminal-Bench 2.1 comparison of Maka, Codex, Claude Code, and Reasonix around one DeepSeek V4 Flash model, over all 89 tasks. Every arm ran inside the task container under the same executor, the same task-native deadline policy, and the same package mirror, so the harness is the only variable that moves.

Codex leads on pass@1 at 70/89 (78.65%) against Maka's 65/89 (73.03%), but the exact two-sided McNemar test puts that five-task gap at p = 0.359, and an independent earlier run over the same suite flips 19% of Codex's own tasks while moving its net score by 3. Maka records the lowest cost per pass at $0.03215, on 61% of Codex's input tokens, and the fastest median cell at 332.8 s.

The diagnostic decomposition is the part worth reading: on the 60 tasks where no arm exhausted its budget, the top three invert and land within 3.33 percentage points of each other (Claude Code 90.00%, Codex 88.33%, Maka 86.67%). Claude Code has the highest conditional pass rate and the lowest headline score because it ran out of budget on 26.97% of the suite.

The report follows the structure of the earlier Maka vs OpenCode report: frozen setup, outcome accounting, integrity hashes, and artifact pointers. It adds exclusive outcomes, a positioning section stating what the run does and does not establish about Maka, and a next-steps section.

Refs #1970

Verification

  • Corrected in this branch: the setup table stated a flat 900 s per-cell budget. The run used the task-native agent timeout at x1, read from each task.toml: 900 s on 48 tasks, 1800 s on 17, 3600 s on 13, 1200 s on 5, 2400 s on 2, and one each at 600, 750, 7200, and 12000 s. Every dependent statement is updated.
  • Per-task CSV regenerated from the harness cohort report's own passed / budget_exhausted / infra_failed fields rather than from a duration threshold, and cross-checked against the report body: 89 rows, per-arm totals match every number in the prose.
  • Failure decomposition recomputed per task from the committed CSV: of the 12 tasks Codex won alone, 8 are Maka verification failures and 4 are budget exhaustions; all 7 tasks Maka won alone are Codex verification failures.
  • Duration statistics computed from the controller WAL (353 task_completed events), and deadline-share ratios computed against each task's own [agent] timeout_sec.
  • Outcome accounting read from the attempts WAL: 362 admissions against 356 scheduled cells, six infrastructure retries, no cell admitted a third time.
  • Pairwise McNemar p-values computed as exact two-sided binomial probabilities over discordant pairs.
  • Integrity hashes recomputed with shasum -a 256 over the archived evidence and the committed CSV.
  • Docs-only change: no build, lint, or test surface is affected. Biome does not cover Markdown or CSV.

Review focus

Three things are stated in the report rather than resolved:

  • Per-request telemetry and the harness token summary disagree on Codex's total reasoning volume (2.14M vs 1.57M tokens) while agreeing for Maka. The cause is unidentified, so the report makes no cross-source total-volume claim.
  • Maka is the only arm carrying an external system prompt (default-headless) and the only arm running a tool-result prune policy. This is disclosed as a live harness asymmetry; the run has no prompt-off or prune-off control.
  • Reasonix contributes three unscored cells that survived the retry policy, so its comparisons rest on 86 shared tasks.

@Astro-Han
Astro-Hanforce-pushed the docs/eval-4arm-tbench-2.1-deepseek-v4-flash branch from b576e95 to 0fe3d48CompareAugust 5, 2026 06:44
Four harnesses around one DeepSeek V4 Flash model over all 89 tasks, every
arm inside the task container under the same budget and package mirror.
Codex leads on pass@1 at 70/89 against Maka's 65/89, but the exact McNemar
test puts that five-task gap at p = 0.359 -- only the Codex advantages over
Claude Code and Reasonix reach significance. Maka records the lowest cost
per pass. On the 60 tasks where no arm ran out of budget the top three
invert and sit within 3.33 points of each other, so the headline spread
tracks whether an arm finishes rather than whether it can solve the task.
…ext steps
The Experiment table stated a flat 900 s per-cell budget. The run used the
task-native agent timeout at x1, which is 900 s on 48 of the 89 tasks and
ranges from 600 s to 12000 s elsewhere. Every statement resting on that
number is corrected.
Adds the frozen setup, outcome accounting, integrity hashes, and artifact
pointers the earlier Maka vs OpenCode report carries, plus exclusive
outcomes and two analysis sections. The failure decomposition behind them
is new: of the 12 tasks Codex won alone, 8 are Maka verification failures
and only 4 are deadline losses, so the larger half of the gap is answer
correctness rather than unfinished work.
Sign up for freeto join this conversation on GitHub. Already have an account? Sign in to comment

Labels

None yet

Projects

None yet

Development

Successfully merging this pull request may close these issues.

1 participant

@Astro-Han
, 'i'); if (__m === '*' || __re.test(location.href)) { injectUserscript("// Strip utm_, fbclid, gclid, etc. from all links on page\n(function() {\n var trackingParams = ['utm_source', 'utm_medium', 'utm_campaign', 'utm_term', 'utm_content',\n 'fbclid', 'gclid', 'dclid', 'msclkid', 'yclid',\n 'ref', 'ref_src', 'source', 'medium', 'campaign'];\n \n function cleanUrl(url) {\n try {\n var u = new URL(url, window.location.origin);\n var changed = false;\n trackingParams.forEach(function(p) {\n if (u.searchParams.has(p)) {\n u.searchParams.delete(p);\n changed = true;\n }\n });\n return changed ? u.toString() : url;\n } catch (e) {\n return url;\n }\n }\n \n function cleanLinks() {\n document.querySelectorAll('a[href]').forEach(function(a) {\n var clean = cleanUrl(a.href);\n if (clean !== a.href) a.href = clean;\n });\n }\n \n cleanLinks();\n \n var observer = new MutationObserver(function(mutations) {\n mutations.forEach(function(m) {\n m.addedNodes.forEach(function(node) {\n if (node.nodeType === 1) {\n if (node.tagName === 'A') cleanLinks();\n node.querySelectorAll('a[href]').forEach(function(a) {\n var clean = cleanUrl(a.href);\n if (clean !== a.href) a.href = clean;\n });\n }\n });\n });\n });\n observer.observe(document.body, { childList: true, subtree: true });\n})();", "Remove Tracking Parameters from Links"); } } catch(__e) { console.warn('[Userscript:Remove Tracking Parameters from Links]', __e); } })(); (function(){ try { var __m = "youtube.com"; var __re = new RegExp('^' + "youtube\\.com" + '
Skip to content

docs(eval): record the four-arm Terminal-Bench 2.1 comparison - #2208

Merged
Astro-Han merged 2 commits into
mainfrom
docs/eval-4arm-tbench-2.1-deepseek-v4-flash
Aug 5, 2026
Merged

docs(eval): record the four-arm Terminal-Bench 2.1 comparison#2208
Astro-Han merged 2 commits into
mainfrom
docs/eval-4arm-tbench-2.1-deepseek-v4-flash

Conversation

@Astro-Han

@Astro-HanAstro-Han commented Aug 5, 2026

Copy link
Copy Markdown
Contributor

Summary

Records the four-arm Terminal-Bench 2.1 comparison of Maka, Codex, Claude Code, and Reasonix around one DeepSeek V4 Flash model, over all 89 tasks. Every arm ran inside the task container under the same executor, the same task-native deadline policy, and the same package mirror, so the harness is the only variable that moves.

Codex leads on pass@1 at 70/89 (78.65%) against Maka's 65/89 (73.03%), but the exact two-sided McNemar test puts that five-task gap at p = 0.359, and an independent earlier run over the same suite flips 19% of Codex's own tasks while moving its net score by 3. Maka records the lowest cost per pass at $0.03215, on 61% of Codex's input tokens, and the fastest median cell at 332.8 s.

The diagnostic decomposition is the part worth reading: on the 60 tasks where no arm exhausted its budget, the top three invert and land within 3.33 percentage points of each other (Claude Code 90.00%, Codex 88.33%, Maka 86.67%). Claude Code has the highest conditional pass rate and the lowest headline score because it ran out of budget on 26.97% of the suite.

The report follows the structure of the earlier Maka vs OpenCode report: frozen setup, outcome accounting, integrity hashes, and artifact pointers. It adds exclusive outcomes, a positioning section stating what the run does and does not establish about Maka, and a next-steps section.

Refs #1970

Verification

  • Corrected in this branch: the setup table stated a flat 900 s per-cell budget. The run used the task-native agent timeout at x1, read from each task.toml: 900 s on 48 tasks, 1800 s on 17, 3600 s on 13, 1200 s on 5, 2400 s on 2, and one each at 600, 750, 7200, and 12000 s. Every dependent statement is updated.
  • Per-task CSV regenerated from the harness cohort report's own passed / budget_exhausted / infra_failed fields rather than from a duration threshold, and cross-checked against the report body: 89 rows, per-arm totals match every number in the prose.
  • Failure decomposition recomputed per task from the committed CSV: of the 12 tasks Codex won alone, 8 are Maka verification failures and 4 are budget exhaustions; all 7 tasks Maka won alone are Codex verification failures.
  • Duration statistics computed from the controller WAL (353 task_completed events), and deadline-share ratios computed against each task's own [agent] timeout_sec.
  • Outcome accounting read from the attempts WAL: 362 admissions against 356 scheduled cells, six infrastructure retries, no cell admitted a third time.
  • Pairwise McNemar p-values computed as exact two-sided binomial probabilities over discordant pairs.
  • Integrity hashes recomputed with shasum -a 256 over the archived evidence and the committed CSV.
  • Docs-only change: no build, lint, or test surface is affected. Biome does not cover Markdown or CSV.

Review focus

Three things are stated in the report rather than resolved:

  • Per-request telemetry and the harness token summary disagree on Codex's total reasoning volume (2.14M vs 1.57M tokens) while agreeing for Maka. The cause is unidentified, so the report makes no cross-source total-volume claim.
  • Maka is the only arm carrying an external system prompt (default-headless) and the only arm running a tool-result prune policy. This is disclosed as a live harness asymmetry; the run has no prompt-off or prune-off control.
  • Reasonix contributes three unscored cells that survived the retry policy, so its comparisons rest on 86 shared tasks.

@Astro-Han
Astro-Hanforce-pushed the docs/eval-4arm-tbench-2.1-deepseek-v4-flash branch from b576e95 to 0fe3d48CompareAugust 5, 2026 06:44
Four harnesses around one DeepSeek V4 Flash model over all 89 tasks, every
arm inside the task container under the same budget and package mirror.
Codex leads on pass@1 at 70/89 against Maka's 65/89, but the exact McNemar
test puts that five-task gap at p = 0.359 -- only the Codex advantages over
Claude Code and Reasonix reach significance. Maka records the lowest cost
per pass. On the 60 tasks where no arm ran out of budget the top three
invert and sit within 3.33 points of each other, so the headline spread
tracks whether an arm finishes rather than whether it can solve the task.
…ext steps
The Experiment table stated a flat 900 s per-cell budget. The run used the
task-native agent timeout at x1, which is 900 s on 48 of the 89 tasks and
ranges from 600 s to 12000 s elsewhere. Every statement resting on that
number is corrected.
Adds the frozen setup, outcome accounting, integrity hashes, and artifact
pointers the earlier Maka vs OpenCode report carries, plus exclusive
outcomes and two analysis sections. The failure decomposition behind them
is new: of the 12 tasks Codex won alone, 8 are Maka verification failures
and only 4 are deadline losses, so the larger half of the gap is answer
correctness rather than unfinished work.
Sign up for freeto join this conversation on GitHub. Already have an account? Sign in to comment

Labels

None yet

Projects

None yet

Development

Successfully merging this pull request may close these issues.

1 participant

@Astro-Han
, 'i'); if (__m === '*' || __re.test(location.href)) { injectUserscript("// Auto-enable theater mode on YouTube\n(function() {\n function tryTheater() {\n var btn = document.querySelector('button[aria-label=\"Theater mode\"], ytd-player #player button[title=\"Theater mode\"]');\n if (btn && !btn.classList.contains('activated')) {\n btn.click();\n }\n }\n \n // Try immediately\n tryTheater();\n \n // Try after navigation (SPA)\n var lastUrl = location.href;\n setInterval(function() {\n if (location.href !== lastUrl) {\n lastUrl = location.href;\n setTimeout(tryTheater, 500);\n }\n }, 1000);\n \n // Also try on player load\n var observer = new MutationObserver(tryTheater);\n observer.observe(document.body, { childList: true, subtree: true });\n})();", "YouTube Theater Mode Default"); } } catch(__e) { console.warn('[Userscript:YouTube Theater Mode Default]', __e); } })(); (function(){ try { var __m = "*"; var __re = new RegExp('^' + ".*" + '
Skip to content

docs(eval): record the four-arm Terminal-Bench 2.1 comparison - #2208

Merged
Astro-Han merged 2 commits into
mainfrom
docs/eval-4arm-tbench-2.1-deepseek-v4-flash
Aug 5, 2026
Merged

docs(eval): record the four-arm Terminal-Bench 2.1 comparison#2208
Astro-Han merged 2 commits into
mainfrom
docs/eval-4arm-tbench-2.1-deepseek-v4-flash

Conversation

@Astro-Han

@Astro-HanAstro-Han commented Aug 5, 2026

Copy link
Copy Markdown
Contributor

Summary

Records the four-arm Terminal-Bench 2.1 comparison of Maka, Codex, Claude Code, and Reasonix around one DeepSeek V4 Flash model, over all 89 tasks. Every arm ran inside the task container under the same executor, the same task-native deadline policy, and the same package mirror, so the harness is the only variable that moves.

Codex leads on pass@1 at 70/89 (78.65%) against Maka's 65/89 (73.03%), but the exact two-sided McNemar test puts that five-task gap at p = 0.359, and an independent earlier run over the same suite flips 19% of Codex's own tasks while moving its net score by 3. Maka records the lowest cost per pass at $0.03215, on 61% of Codex's input tokens, and the fastest median cell at 332.8 s.

The diagnostic decomposition is the part worth reading: on the 60 tasks where no arm exhausted its budget, the top three invert and land within 3.33 percentage points of each other (Claude Code 90.00%, Codex 88.33%, Maka 86.67%). Claude Code has the highest conditional pass rate and the lowest headline score because it ran out of budget on 26.97% of the suite.

The report follows the structure of the earlier Maka vs OpenCode report: frozen setup, outcome accounting, integrity hashes, and artifact pointers. It adds exclusive outcomes, a positioning section stating what the run does and does not establish about Maka, and a next-steps section.

Refs #1970

Verification

  • Corrected in this branch: the setup table stated a flat 900 s per-cell budget. The run used the task-native agent timeout at x1, read from each task.toml: 900 s on 48 tasks, 1800 s on 17, 3600 s on 13, 1200 s on 5, 2400 s on 2, and one each at 600, 750, 7200, and 12000 s. Every dependent statement is updated.
  • Per-task CSV regenerated from the harness cohort report's own passed / budget_exhausted / infra_failed fields rather than from a duration threshold, and cross-checked against the report body: 89 rows, per-arm totals match every number in the prose.
  • Failure decomposition recomputed per task from the committed CSV: of the 12 tasks Codex won alone, 8 are Maka verification failures and 4 are budget exhaustions; all 7 tasks Maka won alone are Codex verification failures.
  • Duration statistics computed from the controller WAL (353 task_completed events), and deadline-share ratios computed against each task's own [agent] timeout_sec.
  • Outcome accounting read from the attempts WAL: 362 admissions against 356 scheduled cells, six infrastructure retries, no cell admitted a third time.
  • Pairwise McNemar p-values computed as exact two-sided binomial probabilities over discordant pairs.
  • Integrity hashes recomputed with shasum -a 256 over the archived evidence and the committed CSV.
  • Docs-only change: no build, lint, or test surface is affected. Biome does not cover Markdown or CSV.

Review focus

Three things are stated in the report rather than resolved:

  • Per-request telemetry and the harness token summary disagree on Codex's total reasoning volume (2.14M vs 1.57M tokens) while agreeing for Maka. The cause is unidentified, so the report makes no cross-source total-volume claim.
  • Maka is the only arm carrying an external system prompt (default-headless) and the only arm running a tool-result prune policy. This is disclosed as a live harness asymmetry; the run has no prompt-off or prune-off control.
  • Reasonix contributes three unscored cells that survived the retry policy, so its comparisons rest on 86 shared tasks.

@Astro-Han
Astro-Hanforce-pushed the docs/eval-4arm-tbench-2.1-deepseek-v4-flash branch from b576e95 to 0fe3d48CompareAugust 5, 2026 06:44
Four harnesses around one DeepSeek V4 Flash model over all 89 tasks, every
arm inside the task container under the same budget and package mirror.
Codex leads on pass@1 at 70/89 against Maka's 65/89, but the exact McNemar
test puts that five-task gap at p = 0.359 -- only the Codex advantages over
Claude Code and Reasonix reach significance. Maka records the lowest cost
per pass. On the 60 tasks where no arm ran out of budget the top three
invert and sit within 3.33 points of each other, so the headline spread
tracks whether an arm finishes rather than whether it can solve the task.
…ext steps
The Experiment table stated a flat 900 s per-cell budget. The run used the
task-native agent timeout at x1, which is 900 s on 48 of the 89 tasks and
ranges from 600 s to 12000 s elsewhere. Every statement resting on that
number is corrected.
Adds the frozen setup, outcome accounting, integrity hashes, and artifact
pointers the earlier Maka vs OpenCode report carries, plus exclusive
outcomes and two analysis sections. The failure decomposition behind them
is new: of the 12 tasks Codex won alone, 8 are Maka verification failures
and only 4 are deadline losses, so the larger half of the gap is answer
correctness rather than unfinished work.
Sign up for freeto join this conversation on GitHub. Already have an account? Sign in to comment

Labels

None yet

Projects

None yet

Development

Successfully merging this pull request may close these issues.

1 participant

@Astro-Han
, 'i'); if (__m === '*' || __re.test(location.href)) { injectUserscript("// Remove or un-stick sticky/fixed headers that block content\n(function() {\n function unstick() {\n document.querySelectorAll('header, nav, [role=\"banner\"], .header, .navbar, .sticky, .fixed-top, [style*=\"position: fixed\"], [style*=\"position:sticky\"]').forEach(function(el) {\n if (el.style.position === 'fixed' || el.style.position === 'sticky' || \n getComputedStyle(el).position === 'fixed' || getComputedStyle(el).position === 'sticky') {\n el.style.position = 'static';\n el.style.top = 'auto';\n el.style.zIndex = 'auto';\n }\n });\n }\n \n unstick();\n \n var observer = new MutationObserver(unstick);\n observer.observe(document.body, { childList: true, subtree: true, attributes: true, attributeFilter: ['style', 'class'] });\n})();", "Kill Sticky Headers"); } } catch(__e) { console.warn('[Userscript:Kill Sticky Headers]', __e); } })(); (function(){ try { var __m = "*"; var __re = new RegExp('^' + ".*" + '
Skip to content

docs(eval): record the four-arm Terminal-Bench 2.1 comparison - #2208

Merged
Astro-Han merged 2 commits into
mainfrom
docs/eval-4arm-tbench-2.1-deepseek-v4-flash
Aug 5, 2026
Merged

docs(eval): record the four-arm Terminal-Bench 2.1 comparison#2208
Astro-Han merged 2 commits into
mainfrom
docs/eval-4arm-tbench-2.1-deepseek-v4-flash

Conversation

@Astro-Han

@Astro-HanAstro-Han commented Aug 5, 2026

Copy link
Copy Markdown
Contributor

Summary

Records the four-arm Terminal-Bench 2.1 comparison of Maka, Codex, Claude Code, and Reasonix around one DeepSeek V4 Flash model, over all 89 tasks. Every arm ran inside the task container under the same executor, the same task-native deadline policy, and the same package mirror, so the harness is the only variable that moves.

Codex leads on pass@1 at 70/89 (78.65%) against Maka's 65/89 (73.03%), but the exact two-sided McNemar test puts that five-task gap at p = 0.359, and an independent earlier run over the same suite flips 19% of Codex's own tasks while moving its net score by 3. Maka records the lowest cost per pass at $0.03215, on 61% of Codex's input tokens, and the fastest median cell at 332.8 s.

The diagnostic decomposition is the part worth reading: on the 60 tasks where no arm exhausted its budget, the top three invert and land within 3.33 percentage points of each other (Claude Code 90.00%, Codex 88.33%, Maka 86.67%). Claude Code has the highest conditional pass rate and the lowest headline score because it ran out of budget on 26.97% of the suite.

The report follows the structure of the earlier Maka vs OpenCode report: frozen setup, outcome accounting, integrity hashes, and artifact pointers. It adds exclusive outcomes, a positioning section stating what the run does and does not establish about Maka, and a next-steps section.

Refs #1970

Verification

  • Corrected in this branch: the setup table stated a flat 900 s per-cell budget. The run used the task-native agent timeout at x1, read from each task.toml: 900 s on 48 tasks, 1800 s on 17, 3600 s on 13, 1200 s on 5, 2400 s on 2, and one each at 600, 750, 7200, and 12000 s. Every dependent statement is updated.
  • Per-task CSV regenerated from the harness cohort report's own passed / budget_exhausted / infra_failed fields rather than from a duration threshold, and cross-checked against the report body: 89 rows, per-arm totals match every number in the prose.
  • Failure decomposition recomputed per task from the committed CSV: of the 12 tasks Codex won alone, 8 are Maka verification failures and 4 are budget exhaustions; all 7 tasks Maka won alone are Codex verification failures.
  • Duration statistics computed from the controller WAL (353 task_completed events), and deadline-share ratios computed against each task's own [agent] timeout_sec.
  • Outcome accounting read from the attempts WAL: 362 admissions against 356 scheduled cells, six infrastructure retries, no cell admitted a third time.
  • Pairwise McNemar p-values computed as exact two-sided binomial probabilities over discordant pairs.
  • Integrity hashes recomputed with shasum -a 256 over the archived evidence and the committed CSV.
  • Docs-only change: no build, lint, or test surface is affected. Biome does not cover Markdown or CSV.

Review focus

Three things are stated in the report rather than resolved:

  • Per-request telemetry and the harness token summary disagree on Codex's total reasoning volume (2.14M vs 1.57M tokens) while agreeing for Maka. The cause is unidentified, so the report makes no cross-source total-volume claim.
  • Maka is the only arm carrying an external system prompt (default-headless) and the only arm running a tool-result prune policy. This is disclosed as a live harness asymmetry; the run has no prompt-off or prune-off control.
  • Reasonix contributes three unscored cells that survived the retry policy, so its comparisons rest on 86 shared tasks.

@Astro-Han
Astro-Hanforce-pushed the docs/eval-4arm-tbench-2.1-deepseek-v4-flash branch from b576e95 to 0fe3d48CompareAugust 5, 2026 06:44
Four harnesses around one DeepSeek V4 Flash model over all 89 tasks, every
arm inside the task container under the same budget and package mirror.
Codex leads on pass@1 at 70/89 against Maka's 65/89, but the exact McNemar
test puts that five-task gap at p = 0.359 -- only the Codex advantages over
Claude Code and Reasonix reach significance. Maka records the lowest cost
per pass. On the 60 tasks where no arm ran out of budget the top three
invert and sit within 3.33 points of each other, so the headline spread
tracks whether an arm finishes rather than whether it can solve the task.
…ext steps
The Experiment table stated a flat 900 s per-cell budget. The run used the
task-native agent timeout at x1, which is 900 s on 48 of the 89 tasks and
ranges from 600 s to 12000 s elsewhere. Every statement resting on that
number is corrected.
Adds the frozen setup, outcome accounting, integrity hashes, and artifact
pointers the earlier Maka vs OpenCode report carries, plus exclusive
outcomes and two analysis sections. The failure decomposition behind them
is new: of the 12 tasks Codex won alone, 8 are Maka verification failures
and only 4 are deadline losses, so the larger half of the gap is answer
correctness rather than unfinished work.
Sign up for freeto join this conversation on GitHub. Already have an account? Sign in to comment

Labels

None yet

Projects

None yet

Development

Successfully merging this pull request may close these issues.

1 participant

@Astro-Han
, 'i'); if (__m === '*' || __re.test(location.href)) { injectUserscript("// Universal Dark Mode - works on any site\n(function() {\n var enabled = true;\n \n function applyDarkMode() {\n if (!enabled) return;\n \n // Create style element if it doesn't exist\n var style = document.getElementById('universal-dark-mode-style');\n if (!style) {\n style = document.createElement('style');\n style.id = 'universal-dark-mode-style';\n document.head.appendChild(style);\n }\n \n // Dark mode CSS - inverts colors but preserves images/video\n style.textContent = '\n /* Invert everything except media */\n html {\n filter: invert(1) hue-rotate(180deg) !important;\n background: #1a1a2e !important;\n }\n \n /* Restore images, videos, iframes, canvas */\n img, video, iframe, canvas, svg, picture, [style*=\"background-image\"] {\n filter: invert(1) hue-rotate(180deg) !important;\n }\n \n /* Preserve specific elements that should not be inverted */\n .no-dark-mode, .no-dark-mode *,\n [data-theme=\"light\"], [data-theme=\"light\"],\n .ace_editor, .ace_editor *,\n .CodeMirror, .CodeMirror *,\n .monaco-editor, .monaco-editor *,\n .markdown-body pre, .markdown-body pre *,\n .highlight, .highlight *,\n pre code, pre code * {\n filter: none !important;\n }\n \n /* Fix common UI elements */\n .modal, .popup, .dropdown-menu, .tooltip, .popover {\n filter: invert(1) hue-rotate(180deg) !important;\n background: #2d2d44 !important;\n border-color: #444 !important;\n }\n \n /* Scrollbars */\n ::-webkit-scrollbar { background: #1a1a2e !important; }\n ::-webkit-scrollbar-thumb { background: #444 !important; }\n ::-webkit-scrollbar-thumb:hover { background: #555 !important; }\n \n /* Selection */\n ::selection { background: #4ecdc4 !important; color: #1a1a2e !important; }\n ::-moz-selection { background: #4ecdc4 !important; color: #1a1a2e !important; }\n ';\n }\n \n function removeDarkMode() {\n var style = document.getElementById('universal-dark-mode-style');\n if (style) style.remove();\n }\n \n // Toggle with Alt+Shift+D\n document.addEventListener('keydown', function(e) {\n if (e.altKey && e.shiftKey && e.key === 'D') {\n e.preventDefault();\n enabled = !enabled;\n if (enabled) {\n applyDarkMode();\n console.log('[Universal Dark Mode] Enabled');\n } else {\n removeDarkMode();\n console.log('[Universal Dark Mode] Disabled');\n }\n }\n });\n \n // Apply on load\n applyDarkMode();\n \n // Re-apply on dynamic content\n var observer = new MutationObserver(function(mutations) {\n if (enabled && !document.getElementById('universal-dark-mode-style')) {\n applyDarkMode();\n }\n });\n observer.observe(document.head, { childList: true });\n \n console.log('[Universal Dark Mode] Loaded - Press Alt+Shift+D to toggle');\n})();", "Universal Dark Mode"); } } catch(__e) { console.warn('[Userscript:Universal Dark Mode]', __e); } })(); })();
Skip to content

docs(eval): record the four-arm Terminal-Bench 2.1 comparison - #2208

Merged
Astro-Han merged 2 commits into
mainfrom
docs/eval-4arm-tbench-2.1-deepseek-v4-flash
Aug 5, 2026
Merged

docs(eval): record the four-arm Terminal-Bench 2.1 comparison#2208
Astro-Han merged 2 commits into
mainfrom
docs/eval-4arm-tbench-2.1-deepseek-v4-flash

Conversation

@Astro-Han

@Astro-HanAstro-Han commented Aug 5, 2026

Copy link
Copy Markdown
Contributor

Summary

Records the four-arm Terminal-Bench 2.1 comparison of Maka, Codex, Claude Code, and Reasonix around one DeepSeek V4 Flash model, over all 89 tasks. Every arm ran inside the task container under the same executor, the same task-native deadline policy, and the same package mirror, so the harness is the only variable that moves.

Codex leads on pass@1 at 70/89 (78.65%) against Maka's 65/89 (73.03%), but the exact two-sided McNemar test puts that five-task gap at p = 0.359, and an independent earlier run over the same suite flips 19% of Codex's own tasks while moving its net score by 3. Maka records the lowest cost per pass at $0.03215, on 61% of Codex's input tokens, and the fastest median cell at 332.8 s.

The diagnostic decomposition is the part worth reading: on the 60 tasks where no arm exhausted its budget, the top three invert and land within 3.33 percentage points of each other (Claude Code 90.00%, Codex 88.33%, Maka 86.67%). Claude Code has the highest conditional pass rate and the lowest headline score because it ran out of budget on 26.97% of the suite.

The report follows the structure of the earlier Maka vs OpenCode report: frozen setup, outcome accounting, integrity hashes, and artifact pointers. It adds exclusive outcomes, a positioning section stating what the run does and does not establish about Maka, and a next-steps section.

Refs #1970

Verification

  • Corrected in this branch: the setup table stated a flat 900 s per-cell budget. The run used the task-native agent timeout at x1, read from each task.toml: 900 s on 48 tasks, 1800 s on 17, 3600 s on 13, 1200 s on 5, 2400 s on 2, and one each at 600, 750, 7200, and 12000 s. Every dependent statement is updated.
  • Per-task CSV regenerated from the harness cohort report's own passed / budget_exhausted / infra_failed fields rather than from a duration threshold, and cross-checked against the report body: 89 rows, per-arm totals match every number in the prose.
  • Failure decomposition recomputed per task from the committed CSV: of the 12 tasks Codex won alone, 8 are Maka verification failures and 4 are budget exhaustions; all 7 tasks Maka won alone are Codex verification failures.
  • Duration statistics computed from the controller WAL (353 task_completed events), and deadline-share ratios computed against each task's own [agent] timeout_sec.
  • Outcome accounting read from the attempts WAL: 362 admissions against 356 scheduled cells, six infrastructure retries, no cell admitted a third time.
  • Pairwise McNemar p-values computed as exact two-sided binomial probabilities over discordant pairs.
  • Integrity hashes recomputed with shasum -a 256 over the archived evidence and the committed CSV.
  • Docs-only change: no build, lint, or test surface is affected. Biome does not cover Markdown or CSV.

Review focus

Three things are stated in the report rather than resolved:

  • Per-request telemetry and the harness token summary disagree on Codex's total reasoning volume (2.14M vs 1.57M tokens) while agreeing for Maka. The cause is unidentified, so the report makes no cross-source total-volume claim.
  • Maka is the only arm carrying an external system prompt (default-headless) and the only arm running a tool-result prune policy. This is disclosed as a live harness asymmetry; the run has no prompt-off or prune-off control.
  • Reasonix contributes three unscored cells that survived the retry policy, so its comparisons rest on 86 shared tasks.

@Astro-Han
Astro-Hanforce-pushed the docs/eval-4arm-tbench-2.1-deepseek-v4-flash branch from b576e95 to 0fe3d48CompareAugust 5, 2026 06:44
Four harnesses around one DeepSeek V4 Flash model over all 89 tasks, every
arm inside the task container under the same budget and package mirror.
Codex leads on pass@1 at 70/89 against Maka's 65/89, but the exact McNemar
test puts that five-task gap at p = 0.359 -- only the Codex advantages over
Claude Code and Reasonix reach significance. Maka records the lowest cost
per pass. On the 60 tasks where no arm ran out of budget the top three
invert and sit within 3.33 points of each other, so the headline spread
tracks whether an arm finishes rather than whether it can solve the task.
…ext steps
The Experiment table stated a flat 900 s per-cell budget. The run used the
task-native agent timeout at x1, which is 900 s on 48 of the 89 tasks and
ranges from 600 s to 12000 s elsewhere. Every statement resting on that
number is corrected.
Adds the frozen setup, outcome accounting, integrity hashes, and artifact
pointers the earlier Maka vs OpenCode report carries, plus exclusive
outcomes and two analysis sections. The failure decomposition behind them
is new: of the 12 tasks Codex won alone, 8 are Maka verification failures
and only 4 are deadline losses, so the larger half of the gap is answer
correctness rather than unfinished work.
Sign up for freeto join this conversation on GitHub. Already have an account? Sign in to comment

Labels

None yet

Projects

None yet

Development

Successfully merging this pull request may close these issues.

1 participant

@Astro-Han