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1. bp-dual-chokepoint-equity-stress-modelbp-dual-chokepoint-equity-stress-modelPublic

   Monte Carlo equity stress model for BP under Hormuz and Red Sea disruption scenarios.

   Python

2. executive-protection-risk-intelligence-modelexecutive-protection-risk-intelligence-modelPublic

   Multi-layer OSINT executive protection risk model combining country risk, city-level ACLED analysis, geospatial mapping, airport/medical access proxies, and trip-level protective intelligence postu…

   Python

3. tennessee-domestic-security-finance-risk-modeltennessee-domestic-security-finance-risk-modelPublic

   County-level OSINT model for Tennessee domestic security, illicit-finance vulnerability, operational-risk context, and non-scoring reference appendices.

   Python

4. us-civil-conflict-escalation-risk-modelus-civil-conflict-escalation-risk-modelPublic

   Historical U.S. state-month escalation-risk research model with staged validation, actor-semantic auditing, Monte Carlo robustness, event-data sensitivity, and failure-mode analysis.

   HTML

5. us-middle-east-strategic-withdrawal-modelus-middle-east-strategic-withdrawal-modelPublic

   Transparent counterfactual model of actor responses and economic stress under alternative U.S. military withdrawal scenarios in the Middle East.

   Python

6. xom-compound-oil-shock-modelxom-compound-oil-shock-modelPublic

   Scenario-based Python model translating prolonged Hormuz and Russian oil infrastructure disruptions into ExxonMobil earnings, free cash flow, and conditional equity valuation ranges.

   Python