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[v3 migration 1/4] Rehearse @changesets/cli v3 in a throwaway clone and answer U1–U6 with measurements — no repo changes #9497

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@os-project-manager

Sub-issue of #9465. This card writes nothing to the repository. Its entire deliverable is measurement, because every other card in this epic is scoped by what this one finds.

Why it is separate

The epic's ruling is that the bump and the migration land as one atomic PR. That PR cannot be written honestly until someone has watched v3 actually run against this repo's shape. Guessing the migration surface from a changelog is how a release machine gets broken in a way nobody sees until release day.

Method

Work in a throwaway clone, never in a worktree that can push, and never against origin. Install @changesets/cli@3.0.0 there, enter pre mode in that clone, and drive the real flows: changeset status, pnpm run version, changeset (the authoring prompt), and a changeset version with nothing pending.

Do not enter or exit pre mode on origin. Do not publish. Do not push tags.

The six questions, each answered with a command and its output

Acceptance

If the rehearsal shows the migration is materially larger than the epic assumes, say so with the measurement — re-scoping the epic is a legitimate and useful outcome of this card.

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